Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 3
WIL
6%
15%
78%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 1
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 0
ZWO
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 0
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZWO
2 - 1
ADO
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZWO
3 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |