Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 2
WIL
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 3
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
ZWO
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
RBC
1 - 1
ZWO
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |