Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 3
ZWO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 1
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 3
ZWO
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
UTR
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |