Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
19%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
VOL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
UTR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |