Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 2
WIL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 2
VIT
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
PSV
2 - 2
WIL
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 0
RKC
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
MVV
0 - 3
UTR
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 3
UTR
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 1
UTR
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |