Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 1
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 5
PSV
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 0
GAE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SCH
4 - 2
UTR
74%
16%
9%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 1
GRO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
FOR
2 - 1
UTR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 4
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |