Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
FCD
0 - 3
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1991 |
VVV
1 - 2
WIL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
ADO
0 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 2
RJC
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
RKC
1 - 1
UTR
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |