Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
59%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCE
1 - 1
WIL
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 4
GLA
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
4 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 5
WIL
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 1
FCE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
TWE
3 - 1
GRO
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TWE
2 - 0
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 1
FCE
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |