Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 2
SPA
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 2
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 1
TWE
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |