Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
WIL
36%
25%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
5 - 0
RJC
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 3
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TWE
0 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FEY
4 - 2
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |