Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 2
WIL
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FEY
3 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
3 - 2
FEY
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
AZA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
JON
2 - 1
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
1 - 0
TWE
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |