Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2000 |
RBC
2 - 1
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 0
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
WIL
6 - 2
UTR
64%
20%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
TWE
0 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
AZA
5 - 0
TWE
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
TWE
3 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
TWE
1 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |