Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
3 - 2
FEY
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SVV
0 - 0
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
WIL
6 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
TWE
1 - 1
LEV
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
SVV
1 - 1
TWE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
LEV
1 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
TWE
0 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |