Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 1
RBC
68%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 1
FEY
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 0
RKC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
GRO
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 0
GRO
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |