Willem II vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
7 - 1
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 2
WIL
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCO
75%
16%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
WIL
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
HEL
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 0
HEL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
FCD
3 - 1
JON
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 2
FCD
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCD
3 - 3
VOL
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |