Willem II vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 6
TWE
14%
21%
66%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 2
TEL
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCD
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 4
FCD
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FCD
1 - 2
VOL
54%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
FCE
1 - 1
FCD
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |