Willem II vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
RBC
2 - 0
WIL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FEY
7 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
RJC
4 - 0
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 2
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ADO
2 - 0
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |