Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CER
5 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
EIN
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
GNK
4 - 0
WIL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
KVK
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
UAN
0 - 7
WIL
6%
12%
82%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
RKC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
XER
1 - 3
EXC
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |