Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
EXC
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |