Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
3 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
BVO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
3 - 3
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
WKE
0 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
TWE
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |