Willem II vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 0
FCE
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCE
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
UTR
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCE
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
SCH
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |