Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
75%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
SCH
29%
25%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 2
BOG
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
0 - 1
TWE
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 1
AZA
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
AZA
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
0 - 2
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |