Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
45%
25%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
TWE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 2
FEY
38%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VVV
1 - 4
AZA
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |