Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
5 - 0
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 1
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 3
UTR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |