Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
74.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
TWE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
AJA
9 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | -1 |