Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 4
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 3
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
4 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 5
AJA
5%
13%
83%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |