Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 4
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
0 - 1
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |