Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
5 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
LYO
3 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
83%
12%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AJA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |