Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
WIL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |