Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
HER
21%
23%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VVV
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 1
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 4
BVB
35%
25%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |