Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 0
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |