Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
WIL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FEY
0 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
5 - 2
SPA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |