Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 1
WIL
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
RKC
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 4
PSV
25%
24%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 1
BIF
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
RBC
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |