Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AZA
3 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
MTA
2 - 1
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
AJA
3 - 0
MTA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 3
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |