Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
JON
2 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |