Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIL
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 2
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
BVO
4 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |