Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
UTR
2 - 2
WIL
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
WIL
3 - 2
RKC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
WIL
5 - 2
VOL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 1
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
9 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
7 - 0
MVV
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
NEC
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
50%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |