Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 2
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1995 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
NEC
1 - 1
WIL
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
UTR
3 - 3
WIL
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 1
NEC
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 0
FTC
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |