Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
WIL
2 - 1
PSV
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
WIL
2 - 2
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
FEY
0 - 2
WIL
73%
19%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
WIL
4 - 0
VOL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBS
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
PSV
1 - 4
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
RBS
0 - 0
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |