Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1993 |
BVO
3 - 1
WIL
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
WIL
0 - 2
RKC
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1993 |
WIL
1 - 3
VOL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
PSV
1 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1993 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
AJA
4 - 0
BOS
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
BVO
1 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |