Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
WIL
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
WIL
3 - 1
TWE
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
VOL
0 - 0
WIL
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
WIL
2 - 0
ADO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 3
AJA
38%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
AJA
3 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
AJA
7 - 0
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 0
AJA
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |