Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
WIL
5 - 0
ADO
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1991 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1990 |
WIL
4 - 2
RKC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1990 |
SCH
2 - 1
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
FEY
0 - 4
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
AJA
5 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |