Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
NEC
2 - 2
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 1
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
AJA
6 - 0
BOS
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
GRO
0 - 1
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
AJA
5 - 0
HFC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
FEY
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 0
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |