Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
FCD
1 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
HSV
80%
13%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 1
VOL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
FOR
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |