Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
60%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
FEY
4 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
HEL
2 - 2
WIL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
FCD
1 - 2
AJA
7%
13%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |