Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 1
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HEL
2 - 1
WIL
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
FEY
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |