Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
DWS
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
44%
24%
33%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1967 |
SPA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 2
ELI
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
1 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |