Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
HER
3 - 3
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 3
VVD
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
DVO
0 - 5
AJA
22%
19%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
AJA
3 - 0
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ENS
0 - 6
AJA
39%
22%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |