Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
VOL
3 - 2
WIL
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
WIL
4 - 3
MVV
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 2
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 1
DWS
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 4
WIL
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 2
FCB
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
9 - 1
VOL
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
MVV
2 - 4
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
73%
15%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 0
AJA
26%
21%
52%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |