Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 2
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 2
WIL
66%
18%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 0
RAP
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
MVV
2 - 0
WIL
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ELI
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
43%
21%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 0
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |